THIRUVANATHAPURAM: The latest Intelligence Bureau report has predicted that barring five districts, the Congress-led UDF has a clear edge in all the districts of the state. The report pointed out that the LDF had a clear edge in Kasargod, Kannur, Kozhikode, Palakkad and Kollam.
In the other southern districts and the central parts of the state, the UDF has the advantage. In these areas, caste equations have played a major role in favour of the UDF, the report says. However, in the Malabar region, only Malappuram has given some good news for the UDF. The report says that the Indian Union Muslim League will register an impressive performance this time, compared to that of 2006 elections.
It has been pointed out that in Kasargod, the UDF had no edge, not even a single seat. The report says that in Kozhikode and Kannur, the UDF has the advantage in four seats each. Similarly in Palakkad and Kollam, the UDF has a definite edge only in four and three seats, respectively. In the rest of the seats in the three districts, a tight or one-sided fight is on.
The report is an indication that for the UDF the 52 seats in the five districts are going to be the biggest hurdle as they are yet to penetrate the CPM vote bank in the northern districts of the state or has failed to capitalise on the antiincumbency factor.
Kozhikode district has 13 seats, Palakkad 12, Kollam and Kannur 11 each, and Kasargod has five seats. Of these 52 seats, as per the present trend, the report points out that the UDF had an advantage only in 15 seats.
But it is good news for the UDF when it comes to the other districts of the state. The report says that the UDF is way ahead in Wayanad, Idukki, Malappuram, Kottayam, Ernakulam, Thrissur, Alappuzha, Pathanamthitta and Thiruvananthapuram. These districts will prove decisive for the UDF as this will determine whether the UDF will wrest power in the state.
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